Weather on the bar: 46 degrees? It could be so hot next week

46 degrees in Germany? Forecasts do not rule out record heat

Sunday, July 10 at 19:56: Germany is facing another regional heatwave. However, it is not yet credible as to how hot it will be, Jacqueline Kernn, a meteorologist at the German Weather Service (DWD), emphasizes on Sunday. However, calculations by the global GFS weather forecast model show that record temperatures across Europe are possible from the end of next week: 46 degrees in some parts of North Rhine-Westphalia, 48 degrees in central France and over 40 degrees in the UK. Temperatures above 35 degrees are not normal in Central Europe, much less 40 or more.

Metereologist Özden Terli tweets: “I’ve never seen temperatures like this in Germany in a weather model,” but Terli, Kernn and Jan Schenk, meteorologists at The Weather Channel, say that a reliable forecast for next weekend is still impossible to be credible to fulfill. The model forecast for Monday, July 18, now shows temperatures between 28 and 46 degrees across the country. Although it is still the coldest on the Baltic Sea coast, more than 40 degrees can threaten the whole of NRW. The model of the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts is a bit more conservative and predicts a maximum of 36 degrees. “We are still not sure if it will actually be 40 degrees,” says Schenk. “A few days with temperatures above 30 degrees are safe.”

However, the forecasts are valid for the next few days, until the coming weekend: it gets warmer and warmer, temperatures drop slightly on Thursday and Friday, until record heat may threaten the weekend, according to the forecast by “The Weather Channel”.

The current weather forecast for the coming week

  • Monday: There are large temperature differences throughout the country, in the southwest it can reach 30 degrees

  • Tuesday: Bathing weather starts in many places, from 21 degrees on the coast to 31 degrees on the Rhine

  • Wednesday: Maximum temperatures are expected from 25 to 31 degrees, in the southwest to 34 degrees. Extreme North should remain milder at a maximum of 20 to 25 degrees.

  • Thursday: Clouds are gathering, it will be a few degrees cooler in many places.

  • FridayA: Temperatures will also drop slightly in the south, expected 19 to 32 degrees.

  • weekend: After a brief cooling down in large parts of Germany, temperatures are rising again. How hot it will be cannot be said with certainty yet.

Moreover, in addition to the extreme north and the extreme south, there is now a severe drought. “In some regions in western and south-western Germany, there has not been a drop this month,” said Kernn.

Health Minister Karl Lauterbach tweeted over the weekend that the elderly and the sick must be protected from the heatwave. “Fluid supply fans talk about the importance of being hydrated. Be available ”. He was also concerned about the death toll.

High summer temperatures led to thousands of heat-related deaths in Germany in the period 2018-2020, according to a recently published study. For the first time since the beginning of the 1992 study period, excessive heat-related mortality occurred in three consecutive years, scientists from the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), the Federal Environment Agency (Uba) and the German Weather Service (DWD). ) wrote in “Deutsches Ęrzteblatt” in early July. High temperatures can, for example, put a heavy strain on the cardiovascular system and exacerbate existing symptoms, such as respiratory diseases.

Farmer CEO: “We are happy with every rain”

The president of the State Farmers’ Association of Brandenburg, Henrik Wendorff, expects a lower-than-average grain harvest this year, according to a preliminary assessment. “We had zero rainfall in March. I’ve never had a month without rain. The herds grew well developed during the winter. And then March came with no rain and strong winds. April and May were not rainy either. It will leave its mark, “said Wendorff of Märkische Oderzeitung (print / Saturday). He estimates the harvest will be below average – “as in previous years.”

He counts on dry days during the harvest season. “But now we enjoy every rain, no matter when it falls. We take every drop. Even if it gets in the way of work at times, ”Wendorff told the newspaper.

The state farmers’ association announced in June that it expected this year’s grain harvest of 2.5 million tonnes to be approximately the same as last year’s.

When asked what role irrigation played in the face of drought, Wendorff said, “We only have the capacity to irrigate about one percent of the country’s entire land.” Systems are available for that, as well as water rights. its operation. ” In addition, not all crops can be irrigated as additional crops often do not cover the costs. “As a rule, special crops such as potatoes and field vegetables are irrigated. However, this is a very small part of the total national crop. Irrigation is not a solution for all crops.”

Northern hemisphere Europe hardest hit by heatwaves

Tuesday, July 5 at 14:38: Across the northern hemisphere, Europe is hit hardest by stronger heat waves. Heatwaves over Europe rose three to four times faster than in other north-central latitudes such as the US and Canada, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) reported on Tuesday. These extremely hot periods are associated with dual jets and their lengthening duration in Eurasia.

An international team of scientists has assessed observational data from the past 40 years and has shown for the first time that this rapid increase is associated with changes in the atmospheric circulation. The so-called jet stream is changing, a fast-moving belt of wind that flows around the northern hemisphere from west to east at an altitude of about ten kilometers.

Conditions in which the stream stream splits into two branches, thus forming double stream layers, did not increase in numbers but lasted longer. According to research, this explains almost without exception the increase in heat waves in Western Europe and about 30 percent more heat waves in the entire European region.

According to the researchers, one possible explanation for the increasing duration of the jet currents is increased warming at high latitudes, especially over land regions such as Siberia, northern Canada and Alaska. In summer, these regions would warm up much faster than the Arctic Ocean. This increasing temperature difference between land and ocean contributes to the sustained double-stream conditions in the summer.

In Western Europe, weather systems usually come from the Atlantic and therefore have a cooling effect. However, if a double flux occurs, the weather systems will be deflected northward, experts say, and sustained heatwaves could develop over Western Europe. In other parts of Europe, such as the Mediterranean and Eastern Europe, heatwaves are more associated with dry soils.

“The summer heatwaves are not new in themselves. What’s new is that extreme heat has happened more and more intensely in Europe in recent years, ‘explains Efi Rousi, lead author of the study. worse.”

Temperature drops: first snow in July

Monday, July 4 at 12:39: After the summer weekend, the weather conditions are changing again. The Azores highlands widen to the north and an omega layer is formed, pushing the cool air towards us. It can even snow on the Zugspitze.

In the first days of the week, warm air can stay in the south, so in summer temperatures around 25 degrees are still possible. But in the middle of the week, cold air will flood all of Germany.

A large omega layer is formed that stretches from Newfoundland to Europe – some of the most stable weather conditions in our latitudes. At the same time, hot air goes to Spain and Great Britain. This, in turn, strengthens the high-pressure area in the upper atmosphere. The resulting weather conditions last for at least a week and therefore remain rather cool. The maximum values ​​are between 18 and 28 degrees.

Snow will fall to Germany again on Thursday. The snow line drops to almost 300 meters and this could mean the first snow of July on the Zugspitze.

Find out more about this in the weather video:

The 17-year-old capsize his canoe Tegernsee and dies

Monday, July 4th 11:22 am: Police discovered and recovered the body of a 17-year-old canoeist who capsized on Lake Tegernsee on Saturday and has since gone missing. With the help of a diving robot, the young person was located and found dead on Sunday, the Upper Bavaria Southern Bavarian Police Headquarters said on Monday in Rosenheim. It was a tragic accident.

A young man from the Fürstenfeldbruck County and his father had their own canoe on Lake Tegernsee on Saturday. When the father returned to land, he noticed that his son’s boat had capsized. Despite an immediate emergency call and a large search operation, the young man could not be saved.

Red alarm in seven circles: here, the weather service warns of severe storms

15:02: The German Weather Service (DWD) warns of severe storms in northeastern Germany. This applies to seven counties in two federal states.

Brandenburg

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

  • Pomorze Przednie-Greifswald – inland south
  • Pomorze Przednie-Greifswald – inland north
  • Vorpommern-Greifswald – South Coast
  • Pomorze Przednie-Greifswald – northern coast
  • Mecklenburg Lake District District – Southeast
  • Mecklenburg Lake District District – North

According to DWD, single thunderstorms are brewing in the neighborhoods. There may be heavy rains, strong gusts of wind, and hailstorms.

Saxony-Anhalt storms

06:21: Heavy storms are possible in Saxony-Anhalt in the early morning of Friday. Lightning strikes are to be expected locally, according to the German Weather Service (DWD). They could also have been uprooted and damaged roofs. In addition, temporary traffic delays are possible.

For more information on weather conditions, see the following pages.